Latest on Invest 98-L

Latest on Invest 98-L



IT’S A BEAUTIFUL DAY IF YOU’RE SITTING INSIDE WITH THE A.C. CRANKED, LOOKING OUTSIDE, LOOK AT THIS BLUE SKY. I MEAN IT IS GORGEOUS. BUT THEN LOOK OUR HIGHS TODAY. I KNOW WE IN THE MID NINETIES TODAY AND PEOPLE ARE GOING WELL WAIT ISN’T IT FALL. NO, NOT YET PAUL DOESN’T ARRIVE UNTIL 804 SO SUMMER IS HANGING ON TOP BUT THERE IS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING OUR WAY. NOW DON’T EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO DROP A LOT OVERNIGHT, BUT YOU WILL NOTICE SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR. BUT WAIT AS YOU GO INTO MONDAY A STRONGER COLD FRONT, MOVES THROUGH. THAT’S GOING TO BE A MAJOR PLAYER IN WHERE INVEST 98 L GOES SO THE BIG PICTURE THERE OF COURSE FIONA GASTON ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVING NORTH OF AFRICA ONE IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ATLANTIC AND OF COURSE INVEST 98 EL. SO FAR WE’VE GOTTEN THROUGH GASTON UP NEXT TURN MAKING AND IAN ALL HERE IS A LOOK AT INVEST EIGHT EL HIGH CHANCE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT YOU CAN LOOK AT ALL THE FORECAST MODELS THE ONES I REALLY LOOK AT ARE THE GLOBAL MODEL AND THE EUROPEAN MODEL. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT MORE OF A GROUPING TO THE EAST, SO WE’RE WATCHING THAT CAREFULLY. MEANWHILE FIONA REALLY IS A MONSTER. IT IS NOW RACING TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 MAX. WINDS ARE 130 MILES PER HOUR. WE CAN LOOK AT IT. IT’S GOT A BIG EYE. THERE IS BERMUDA FORECAST TO BE A CAT THREE. BERMUDA OUTSIDE THE CONE, BUT STILL WILL HAVE IMPACTS. MOST LIKELY THEY WILL BE TROPICAL FORCE WINDS SUSTAINED, BUT ALSO HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS. SO WITH THIS POINT, THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 70 MILES FROM THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL FORCE WINDS. 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. FOLKS THIS IS A BIG HURRICANE AND AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTH, IT BECOMES POST-TROPICAL. BUT IT’S GOING TO BE IT’S GOING TO CAUSE A LOT OF WIND AND, RAIN OVER CANADA THERE. A LOOK AT THE SYSTEM. LOOK HOW HUGE THAT IS. BUT THE ONE WE ARE WATCHING, THE ONE WE ARE INTERESTED IN IS THIS ONE INVESTMENT. EIGHT L ARE BEGINNING TO SEE A LITTLE BIT OF A CIRCULATION ARE STILL DEALING WITH DRY AIR, STILL HAS SOME STRONG WIND SOLAR. BUT LOOK IT’S MOVING INTO LOWER WIND SHEAR THAT SHOULD ALLOW IT DEVELOP AND LOOK, IT’S MOVING OVER WARM WATER, TOO. SO SOUTH OF JAMAICA, SUNDAY NIGHT OR SO, WE’RE BEGINNING TO SEE SOME DEVELOPING, TOO. AND OF COURSE, GULF WATER TEMPERATURES ARE VERY WARM. THIS IS THE GLOBAL FORECAST MODEL. THAT’S A VERY GOOD PERFORMER. SO NOW IT HAS SHIFTED TO EAST. WE ARE GOING TO SEE THIS EVERY DAY BECAUSE THIS HASN’T REALLY FORMED. THAT’S THE COLD FRONT. I WAS TALKING ABOUT THAT WILL HELP SHAPE WHERE IT’S GOING TO GO SO FORECAST WEDNESDAY CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO AND NOW IT’S SHIFTING MORE TO THE EAST COULD FLIP BACK TO THE WEST TOMORROW OR TO THE EAST. MEANWHILE EUROPEAN TOTALLY SHIFTED TO THE EAST TO LOOK RIGHT THERE OVER CENTRAL WEST CENTRAL CUBA AND THEN MOVING TOWARDS THE FLORIDA KEYS. THAT’S ON TUESDAY. SO IT’S MOVING FASTER AND IT’S MORE TO THE EAST. WE HAVE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT DOMINATING OUR WEATHER. I MEAN, IT’S GIVING US DRY AIR, NOT A RAIN TROUGH OUT THERE. NOW BUT WITH THAT WEAK FRONT, ISOLATED SPRINKLE, POSSIBLE OUT IN THE MORNING LOW TO THE UPPER SEVENTIES TOMORROW, NOT AS HOT HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR TWO FOR LOW NINETIES, SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN ALONG THE COAST SO YOUR FORECAST WE’RE GOING BE IN THE LOW NINETIES THROUGH SUNDAY SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SUNDAY THEN YOU’VE GOT THAT COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH AND I’M JUMPING FOR JOY WE COULD HAVE COOLER DRIER WEATHER ALL THE WAY THROUGH THURSDA

Invest 98-L does have an area of low pressure now. It is still dealing with dry air and wind shear, but about to move out of the high wind shear area. It is moving over warm water with water temps in the mid to upper 80s. Looks like it will organize and may become a depression within a day or two. Will be South of Jamaica Sunday. GFS Model takes to Yucatan Channel Tuesday and into the NE Gulf Wednesday. Euro model shows it over Central Cuba Monday and South Florida Tuesday. Both models have shifted more to the East. These models will likely change again as the system has not yet formed. Hot here. Record highs. Fall arrives 8:04 pm. Weak cold front overnight. Less humid, but still hot Friday and Saturday. Stronger cold front Monday. This will play a role in where Invest 98-L goes. Weather here is looking pretty good through Wednesday at least with slightly cooler mornings and breezy conditions Wednesday and Thursday thanks to a tight pressure gradient.

Invest 98-L does have an area of low pressure now. It is still dealing with dry air and wind shear, but about to move out of the high wind shear area. It is moving over warm water with water temps in the mid to upper 80s. Looks like it will organize and may become a depression within a day or two. Will be South of Jamaica Sunday. GFS Model takes to Yucatan Channel Tuesday and into the NE Gulf Wednesday. Euro model shows it over Central Cuba Monday and South Florida Tuesday. Both models have shifted more to the East. These models will likely change again as the system has not yet formed. Hot here. Record highs. Fall arrives 8:04 pm. Weak cold front overnight. Less humid, but still hot Friday and Saturday. Stronger cold front Monday. This will play a role in where Invest 98-L goes. Weather here is looking pretty good through Wednesday at least with slightly cooler mornings and breezy conditions Wednesday and Thursday thanks to a tight pressure gradient.

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