Rising concerns about inflation and the resurgence of COVID-19 infections among the unvaccinated walloped Wall Street on Monday, with major benchmarks suffering their worst declines since May, even as quarterly earnings continue to reflect a strengthening economic rebound.
This week’s batch of earnings will include industry leaders like Netflix (NFLX) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), offering a fuller picture of how companies are faring as more parts of the economy reopened in the spring and early summer. All eyes will also be on retail trading upstart Robinhood, which early Monday filed its prospectus to go public at a valuation of $35 billion. The platform is targeting a $2 billion capital raise, and aims to price the stock within a range of $38 to $42 per share.
But in early dealings, fears about a resurgence in coronavirus cases drove the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to their biggest drop in two months, and sent benchmark yields to their largest decline in over 3 months.
Last week, major benchmarks gave up early gains and closed in the red as traders digested a slew of earnings results, and June consumer spending data that blew away expectations. However, a print on consumer sentiment disappointed, hinting at growing price pressures that may derail the recovery.
In Europe’s Monday session, bourses sank as the United Kingdom celebrated its “Freedom Day”, which ironically began with the Prime Minister and the Chancellor having to isolate after being notified they came into contact with someone who was COVID-19 positive.
The incident refocused attention on the Delta variant, which is driving a surge of new cases across the U.S., and sent the safe-haven 10-year Treasury bond yield (TNX) to its lowest levels since early March. In Los Angeles, indoor masking requirements have made a comeback, with other regions considering similar measures.
“Concerns that the Delta mutation will slow or even reverse the recovery efforts appear to be sapping risk-taking appetites,” said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex.
Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suggested it was still too early for the central bank to step in and dial back some ultra-accommodative monetary policies to rein in inflation, given the labor market and other areas of the economy still need to recover more fully from the pandemic.
“The composition of recent data suggests that inflation will largely prove transitory as the Fed has stated,” said Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial’s chief market strategist, in a note to clients last week.
“Just how long ‘transitory’ will prove to be is the big question. We are in the middle of the season when we expected to see some hot prints, so this week has not necessarily been a surprise,” Detrick added. “But with each passing report market participants will be increasingly anxious to see those numbers start to moderate.”
Against the backdrop of surging demand and prices, Corporate America continues to surprise investors to the upside with second-quarter earnings results. About 8% of S&P 500 companies have reported results so far, mostly banks. Of those reporting, 85% have topped estimates, according to FactSet data.
Banks including Bank of America (BAC), JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Morgan Stanley (MS) have topped consensus estimates, but have also showed signs of slowing growth beneath the hood in core business segments, as loan demand and fixed-income trading came in lighter than expected.
Late Sunday, Zoom (ZM) — the company that became synonymous with remote working during COVID-19 lockdowns — announced an all-stock $15 billion deal to buy cloud provider Five9. The video communications standout is facing stiffening competition from the likes of Facebook (FB) and Google (GOOG), both of which are ramping up their video capabilities.
Meanwhile, Wall Street is cautiously eyeing a growing resurgence of COVID-19 infections, as the Delta variant takes hold. Last week, Los Angeles revived its indoor masking policy amid a jump in new coronavirus diagnoses, and as the U.S. case count set a three-month high — underscoring how the mass vaccination effort appears to have lost momentum.
1:30 p.m. ET: The shortest recession on record
According to the NBER, the official arbiter of recessions, the downturn that began with the COVID-19 outbreak in February of 2020 ended in April of that same year — making it the shortest retrenchment ever.
1:25 p.m. ET: Stocks keep dropping
A flood of selling is hitting the major benchmarks at midday, with virtually everything in the red. Dow is off by over 2%, its worst showing since October, while the S&P and Nasdaq aren’t far behind.
Even still, some analysts think the market may be overreacting: “There are some silver linings,” Clearbridge Investment Strategy Analyst Josh Jamner told Yahoo Finance Live, speaking about Delta variant concerns. “So far, hospitalizations remain low. It seems like the vaccines are very effective against this. That leads us to be optimistic.
Video: Market Recap: Friday, July 16 (Yahoo! Finance)
12:07 p.m. ET: Rent the Runway sets up IPO
The online clothing rental firm is going the confidential route, with the number of shares and the target price range for its IPO undisclosed. New York-based Rent the Runway allows customers to rent clothes and shop second-hand merchandise from over 750 designer brands.
Noon ET: Stocks heavy as COVID blues rattle Wall Street
Here’s where major indexes were trading as of 12 p.m.:
S&P 500 (^GSPC): 4,258.00, -69.16 (-1.60%)
Dow (^DJI): 33,921.09, -766.76 (-2.21%)
Nasdaq (^IXIC): 14,280.00, -147.24 (-1.02%)
11:45 a.m. ET: ‘Confounded by contradiction’
…so says CFRA’s Sam Stovall, who in a morning research note pointed out that, in spite of a strong start to quarterly earnings, many stocks across sectors and sizes have tumbled in price. Why?
Investors appeared confounded by the contradiction of stronger-than-expected [year over year] gains in consumer and producer prices, along with Fed Chair Powell’s acknowledgment of accelerating inflation during his semi-annual Humphrey-Hawkins testimony, which were then met by a near percentage point decline in the 10-year yield. In the week ahead, investors will likely regard a further weakening of bond yields as a potential “canary in the coal mine.”
And if Monday’s rocky session is any indication, investors may want to fasten their seat belts, Stovall wrote:
In an attempt to divine this message, the market may dismiss future better-than-expected EPS growth as symptomatic of the transition from the windward to the leeward slope of the current EPS cycle as it passes its peak, resulting in increased volatility.
10:15 a.m. ET: A dour day for crypto
Crypto cohorts are on the decline with the drop in risk appetite, with Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and dogecoin (DOGE-USD) leading the charge. Bitcoin is hovering perilously close to $30,000, while the meme coin shed 9%.
10:00 a.m. ET: Homebuilder confidence drops to lowest in nearly a year
U.S. homebuilder confidence in the market for single family homes fell in July to its lowest level since August 2020.
The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market index declined to a reading of 80 this month from 81 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had expected the index to advance marginally to a reading of 82. A reading above 50 means more builders view market conditions as favorable than poor. The index hit an all-time high of 90 in November 2020.
9:30 a.m. ET: Stocks open to the downside
Here’s where major indicators were trading at the opening bell
S&P 500 (^GSPC): 4,276.64, -50.52 (-1.17%)
Dow (^DJI): 34,238.96 -448.89 (-1.29%)
Nasdaq (^IXIC): 14,235.50, -191.74 (-1.33%)
Crude (CL=F): $69.13 per barrel, -$2.68 (-3.73%)
Gold (GC=F): $1,813.80 per ounce, -$1.20 (-0.07%)
10-year Treasury (^TNX): -0.085, yielding 1.215%
7:00 a.m. ET Monday: Stock futures fall as earnings season gears up
Here were the main moves in markets, as of 7:01 a.m. ET:
S&P 500 futures (ES=F): 4,284.25, -34.25 (-0.79%)
Dow futures (YM=F): 34,188.00, -376.00 (-1.09%)
Nasdaq futures (NQ=F): 14,614.75, -55.75 (-0.38%)
Crude (CL=F): $69.85 per barrel, -$1.96 (-2.73%)
Gold (GC=F): 1,803.10 per ounce, -$11.90(-0.66%)
10-year Treasury (^TNX): yielding 1.24%, lowest since March 4
Javier David is an editor for Yahoo Finance. Follow Javier on Twitter: @TeflonGeek