Stock indexes saw declines gather some steam early, with the Dow edging lower after trading above its all-time closing high as investors searched for reasons to keep propelling equities higher a week ahead of a key meeting of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.
Video: U.S. stock futures points to mixed open (CNBC)
What are major indexes doing?
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 80 points, or 0.2%, to around 34,678, after rising above its May 7 all-time closing high at 34,777.76.
- The S&P 500 index was trading at about 4,219, down 0.3%, but just 14 points or so off its record closing high at 4,232.60, also put in on May 7.
- The Nasdaq Composite Index fell by about 7 points, or less than 0.1%, to 13,804.
Early losses on the S&P 500 were being led by a 0.8% decline in materials shares and a 0.6% fall in those for financials
On Friday, stocks rose following a May jobs report that came in below expectations but showed a significant pickup in job creation from April. The Dow rose 0.7% for the week, while the S&P 500 gained 0.6% and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.5%.
What’s driving the market?
Markets were drifting lower as investors fought to overcome concerns about the potential for out-of-control inflation and weighed the prospects of a major infrastructure plan that may further stimulate economic growth in the rebound from COVID.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in an interview Sunday that it would be OK if President Joe Biden’s $4 trillion spending plans lift inflation and lead to higher rates.
“We’ve been fighting inflation that’s too low and interest rates that are too low now for a decade,” she told Bloomberg. “We want them to go back to” a normal environment, “and if this helps a little bit to alleviate things then that’s not a bad thing — that’s a good thing.”
“After a solid Friday rally landing the market within 3 points of its May 7 record close, traders seem to be shrugging off inflation jitters in favor of the seemingly short runway to economic recovery,” wrote Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing products at E-Trade Financial, in emailed remarks.
On Friday, May’s employment report from the Labor Department showed that the U.S. created 559,000 jobs, falling short of The Wall Street consensus estimate for a gain of 671,000, based on a poll of economists by Dow Jones and The Wall Street Journal.
“Though the jobs numbers were a bit of a mixed bag, they suggested solid progress but room for improvement, which could temper action on behalf of the Fed,” Larkin said.
“So as we hover around record highs, keep in mind that it’s normal for the market to take a bit of a breather as we kick off the week,” he said.
“There seems to be widespread relief from the soft payrolls numbers as the solid but underwhelming jobs recovery has created a goldilocks scenario for the U.S. economy where the Fed can afford to take its time before rushing in to turn off the stimulus taps,” said Raffi Boyadjian, senior investment analyst at XM, in a note.
However, the XM analyst noted that increasing talk of Fed tapering is part of the worry that has cast a pall over markets at times.
Boyadjian said that“it’s becoming increasingly difficult for investors to ignore the hints that tapering is moving closer to the horizon and the lingering uncertainty could keep stock markets in check until clearer signals emerge.”
On Thursday, the May consumer-price index is scheduled for release, which will offer the latest picture on pricing pressures. A jump in the April reading last month rattled investors last month.
Meanwhile, the Group of Seven wealthy democracies agreed Saturday to support a global minimum corporate tax of at least 15%, a move designed to deter multinational companies from avoiding taxes by stashing profit in low-rate countries. The plan must overcome hurdles to implementation, however, including a divided U.S. Congress.
Biden and Sen. Shelley Moore Capito, R-W.Va., were set to meet again Monday in an attempt to reach a bipartisan agreement on infrastructure spending. Biden on Friday rejected an offer by Capito to add around $50 billion to Senate Republicans’ $928 billion plan. Biden, who last week cut the size of his infrastructure proposal to $1.7 trillion, told the lawmaker he wants at least $1 trillion in new spending over current levels versus $250 billion in the Republican plan, according to reports.
The economic calendar is light Monday, with April consumer-credit data due at 3 p.m. Eastern.
Which companies are in focus?
- Tesla Inc. will pull the plug on its Model S Plaid Plus electric car, Chief Executive Elon Musk said Sunday, because the regular Plaid is “so good.” Tesla shares were down 1.3%.
- A group of private-equity firms reached a deal to acquire Medline Industries Inc. that would value the medical-supply company at more than $30 billion, in one of the largest leveraged buyouts since the financial crisis. Medline said Saturday that Blackstone Group Inc. Carlyle Group Inc. and Hellman & Friedman LLC had reached a deal to take a majority stake in the company.
- Apple Inc.’s annual Worldwide Developers Conference, or WWDC, begins Monday as Apple awaits a ruling on a lawsuit brought by Epic Games, the maker of the popular “Fortnite” game. Shares of Apple were off 0.4%.
How are other assets faring?
- The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y was at 1.576%, compared with 1.559% on Friday at 3 p.m. Eastern Time.
- The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against a basket of six major rivals, was down less than 0.1%.
- Oil futures CL00 traded slightly lower, with West Texas Intermediate crude for July delivery off 13 cents, or 0.2%, at $69.47 a barrel. Gold futures GC00 for August delivery climbed by $18.70, or 1%, to $1,889.50 an ounce.
- In European equities trading, the pan-Continental Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP rose 0.2% Friday, extending a record climb after booking a weekly gain of 0.8%. London’s FTSE 100 UKX rose 0.4%, following a 0.7% weekly gain.
- In Asia, the Shanghai Composite added 0.2%, while the Hang Seng Index slipped by 0.5%; Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 0.3%.